Model-driven · Fully graded · No cherry-picking

Every pick, every slate,
graded in public.

Sports EDGE predicts NCAA men’s basketball games straight up, against the spread, and on the total — from a ridge-regression rating model sealed before tip — then publishes the result, win or lose.

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Moneyline Accuracy

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Against The Spread

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Totals Accuracy

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Retrospective slate

Matchup Board

View full board →

Season Performance

Straight-up accuracy by ET game day. Retrospective replay.

Below average At or above average

Teams

2025–26 retrospective replay · top teams by moneyline accuracy

All D-I teams →

How It Works

Plain-English version. The model runs on structured data, not intuition.

Team strength

Ridge team ratings updated only from completed D-I games before each tip — no same-day leakage.

Consensus lines

Presence-aware consensus for moneyline, spread, and total; picks sealed before tip when the live ledger opens.

Public grading

Every sealed pick is graded on the line at seal time; closing-line value (CLV) is tracked against the close. Replay numbers are labeled and never mixed with the live ledger.

For entertainment and informational purposes only. Replay results are not live skill and do not claim edge — this is a statistical model, not betting advice.